AFL Round 13 Betting Predictions: Collingwood matchwinner to star; Carlton to win, but not without scares


The second week of the bye rounds kicks off between Richmond and Port Adelaide at the MCG.

The Bombers and Blues face off in a Friday night blockbuster, while Fremantle hosts the Hawks.

Brisbane are looking to respond after their loss in round 12, coming up against St Kilda at The Gabba.

The traditional Queen’s Birthday clash at the MCG between Collingwood and Melbourne will also take place, with the Big Freeze in its eighth year being part of the attraction.

Here at The Sporting News, we’ve put together our betting predictions for round 13:

Odds courtesy of Neds.

Last week, we scored with three of our six predictions, with Clayton Oliver missing out by one disposal (29), the Lions losing and Tyson Stengle kept goalless.

Richmond (10th) vs Port Adelaide (12th)

Richmond were on a roll, winning four games in a row before falling agonisingly short to Sydney just before they entered the bye.

Port Adelaide have kept their season alive, sitting with five wins and hoping to cause an upset at the MCG on Thursday night.

Dion Prestia has been super impressive this year in games where he hasn’t been injured, averaging 28 touches and contributing to the resurgence of the Tigers.

If Richmond are to beat the Power, Prestia must perform at the level Damien Hardwick knows he can, being the link man through the centre of the ground and driving the ball forward.

Dion Prestia 25+ disposals – $1.46

Essendon (16th) vs Carlton (7th)

Arguably a one-sided affair, both teams are returning from a week off, with the Blues falling short to the Pies and Essendon unable to snag four points against Port Adelaide.

Carlton will be without All-Australian candidate Jacob Weitering and will be looking very thin in the backline, an area Peter Wright and the Bombers can exploit.

Essendon celebrate 150 years as a football club and have plenty on the line coming up against their arch rivals in a Friday night blockbuster at the MCG.

The recent history suggests we could be in for a close one, with the Blues winning by margins of 16 and one in their last two encounters in a possible indication of what’s to come in round 13.

Carlton will come away with the four points, but we aren’t expecting them to have it all their own way.

Carlton to win – $1.42


Fremantle (3rd) vs Hawthorn (13th)

Fremantle’s past fortnight has been nothing short of outstanding, defeating potentially seeds one and two in the competition, Melbourne and Brisbane.

Hawthorn have struggled of late, losing four of their past five matches, including a four-point loss to Collingwood last week.

The long-awaited return of Nat Fyfe is imminent, with reports saying the dual Brownlow Medallist will spend some time up forward in his bid to return to full fitness.

Will Brodie is posing as the steal of the year, averaging 27 touches a game and complementing Andrew Brayshaw, Sean Darcy, David Mundy and Caleb Serong effortlessly.

Brodie’s form has been excellent and we expect him to maintain that level against the Hawks this week.

Will Brodie 25+ disposals – $1.35

Brisbane (2nd) vs St Kilda (5th)

Brisbane’s form has been scratchy, with the team conceding an average of 109 points over the last three weeks, including two losses.

The Saints have been flying, winning three on the trot and looking to the tough task at the Gabba to make it four.

Charlie Cameron has staked claims as the best small forward in the competition, kicking 30 goals so far this season in what’s been an impressive outcome for the ex-Crow.

Cameron’s kicked majors in all 12 games, with nine of those matches resulting in two or more goals.

Charlie Cameron 2+ goals – $1.35

North Melbourne (17th) vs GWS (15th)

North Melbourne’s issues have been a significant talking point this season, with plenty of off-field dramas to negatively impact their on-field performances.

Since the departure of Leon Cameron, the Giants have thrashed the Eagles and lost to the Lions by 14 points, after blowing an early lead, in what is a rejuvenated club.

Caretaker coach Mark McVeigh has created a higher-scoring, faster-moving game style that gives GWS forwards the opportunity to kick goals.

As history shows, interim coaches usually perform well, with players taking a liking to the new instruction and direction of the club.

GWS Giants (-32.5) – $2.00

GWS Giants.jpg

Collingwood (8th) vs Melbourne (1st)

Collingwood has taken steps forward since recruiting new coach Craig McRae and put themselves in finals contention after winning their last three games.

Reigning premiers Melbourne still sit a game ahead of second place, but have dropped their last two matches in unrecognisable form.

The Demons have been the talk of the town recently, with Steven May’s off-field drama clouding their start to 2022 and has added more fuel to the fire that already consists of consecutive losses.

Jordan De Goey is a known match-winner and has been a consistent performer for the Pies this season, resulting in 22 touches and a goal per game.

If Collingwood are to win, we predict De Goey could be the reason why.

Jordan De Goey 2+ goals – $3.50

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